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The importance of local populations, stakeholders and policy makers in coastal areas being aware of sea level rise as one of the main effects of climate change is the focus of a publication edited by researchers from the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV) in collaboration with the Radboud Radio Lab, Department of Astrophysics, Radboud University, Nijmegen, Holland, the Isotech Ltd Environmental Research and Consultancy of Cyprus, the Center for Integrated Geomorphology for the Mediterranean and the City of Venice in the magazine 'Rendiconti Lincei by Springer'.

In the study the authors analyze sea level rise in the Mediterranean, which is already having effects on low-lying coastal plains, river deltas, lagoons and land reclamation areas. In particular, for the Venice lagoon, the current and future impacts of climate change and subsidence are highlighted and the importance of awareness among local stakeholders in addressing the challenge of sea level rise and extreme weather events.

"Sea level rise, particularly if this is accelerated locally by subsidence, is causing increasingly severe and widespread coastal erosion, beach retreat and marine flooding with very significant environmental and socio-economic impacts on coastal populations.", says Marco Anzidei, INGV researcher and first author of the study.

According to projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the effects of sea level rise are expected to progressively increase by 2150 to around 1.5 metres. In this extremely critical context for most of the coasts, the study focused on Venice, a city particularly exposed to this phenomenon which is amplified here by subsidence. 

"The results of the study highlight the current and future trend of sea level and the possible flood scenarios in the event of the absence of the protection provided by the Experimental Electromechanical Module (MoSE) which since 2020 has successfully protected the city of Venice from the increasingly numerous flood events high water. 

To understand the awareness of the citizens of Venice in facing thesea ​​level rise, a group of stakeholders was involved through a structured participatory process, to develop policy tools oriented towards specific solutions. Our findings demonstrate that policy instruments contain relevant, effective and actionable actions resulting from stakeholder interaction and consensus building, identifying relevant issues that should be considered for adaptation policies”, says Marco Anzidei.

Studies highlight that broader participation in public processes is desperately needed to translate policy tools into concrete actions that help vulnerable areas adapt to sea level rise expected by the end of this century. 

"The results of the latest research show the high exposure of the Mediterranean coasts to the effects of sea level rise and extreme weather effects triggered by recent global warming linked to human activities”, adds Tommaso Alberti, co-author of the study.

In this complex picture, which includes the dynamics of the solid and fluid Earth, stakeholders lack relevant and easily understandable scientific information on the current impacts and evolution of climate change.

"It is therefore important to investigate the perceptions of stakeholders on the specific mitigation and adaptation practices to be adopted in the vulnerable areas of the Mediterranean and - for this specific study - in the Venice lagoon, in order to fill the knowledge gaps not only in terms of raising of the sea level but also of adaptation solutions to best practices to face this challenge. This experience has taught us that increasingly broad participation in public processes is necessary to translate political tools into concrete actions to help the most vulnerable areas adapt to rising sea levels". concludes Marco Anzidei.

Link to the study

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12210-024-01236-x?fbclid=IwAR31nhi0T1nqm2BafkzJ7A8FzROfnC5jjlpzLQhOHfYgZhH_oxRu8Ouq2Ns

How to quote

Anzidei, M., Alberti, T., Vecchio, A. et al. Sea level rise and extreme events along the Mediterranean coasts: the case of Venice and the awareness of local population, stakeholders and policy makers. Yield. Phys. Acc. Lincei (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12210-024-01236-x

Venice Anzidei 1

Multi-temporal sea level rise scenario for Venice (RCP8.5). The colors show the extents of different areas exposed to floods in 2030 (yellow), 2050 (orange) and 2100 (red). The scenarios are provided with respect to the average sea level in 2016, thus excluding the tides which represent a critical factor for flooding in Venice. Background layer: Ortofoto 2014. Metropolitan City of Venice. Reference topography: DTM LiDAR ex Consorzio Venezia Nuova (from Falciano et al. 2023, www.savemedcoasts2.eu).

Venice Anzidei 2

to. Sea level anomaly in the Mediterranean as an average for the period 1993-2020 (value in cm; data from https://climate.copernicus.eu/).

b. Sea surface temperature anomaly in the Mediterranean as an average for the period 1993-2020 (value in °C; data from https://climate.copernicus.eu/).